Integration of X-Ray CT, Sensor Fusion, and Machine Learning for Advanced Modeling of Preharvest Apple Growth Dynamics

Weiqun Wang, Dario Mengoli, Shangpeng Sun, Luigi Manfrini

Understanding the complex interplay between environmental factors and fruit quality development requires sophisticated analytical approaches linking cellular architecture to environmental conditions. This study introduces a novel application of dual-resolution X-ray computed tomography (CT) for the non-destructive characterization of apple internal tissue architecture in relation to fruit growth, thereby advancing beyond traditional methods that are primarily focused on postharvest analysis. By extracting detailed three-dimensional structural parameters, we reveal tissue porosity and heterogeneity influenced by crop load, maturity timing and canopy position, offering insights into internal quality attributes. Employing correlation analysis, Principal Component Analysis, Canonical Correlation Analysis, and Structural Equation Modeling, we identify temperature as the primary environmental driver, particularly during early developmental stages (45 Days After Full Bloom, DAFB), and uncover nonlinear, hierarchical effects of preharvest environmental factors such as vapor pressure deficit, relative humidity, and light on quality traits. Machine learning models (Multiple Linear Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost) achieve high predictive accuracy (R2 > 0.99 for Multiple Linear Regression), with temperature as the key predictor. These baseline results represent findings from a single growing season and require validation across multiple seasons and cultivars before operational application. Temporal analysis highlights the importance of early-stage environmental conditions. Integrating structural and environmental data through innovative visualization tools, such as anatomy-based radar charts, facilitates comprehensive interpretation of complex interactions. This multidisciplinary framework enhances predictive precision and provides a baseline methodology to support precision orchard management under typical agricultural variability.