We study the online binary sequential calibration problem. A recent breakthrough by \citet{dagan2024breaking} overcomes the classical \(T^{2/3}\) barrier for calibration error. Building on this result, we present an efficient randomized forecaster that achieves an expected calibration error \(O(T^{2/3-\varepsilon})\) for some constant \(\varepsilon>0\). Our forecaster combines the \textsc{SPR-Calibration} procedure \citep{dagan2024breaking} with an outer Blackwell-style correction layer. The \textsc{SPR-Calibration} procedure controls calibration with respect to a surrogate sequence of conditional-mean estimates, while the correction layer controls the additional error incurred when these surrogates are used to approximate the true outcomes. The analysis decomposes the total calibration error into the surrogate calibration error and the residual discrepancy between the surrogate sequence and the true outcomes. The former is bounded by the \textsc{SPR-Calibration} guarantee in \citet{dagan2024breaking}, and the latter is controlled using a quadratic potential argument together with the sparsity of the \textsc{SPR-Calibration} forecaster.
Diffusion models have revolutionized generative tasks but incur high latency due to iterative denoising. While cache-based strategies accelerate inference by reusing intermediate features, they largely rely on static, sample-agnostic schedules. We argue that this rigidity overloo…
Low-rank adaptation (LoRA) optimizes $J(B,A)=\mathcal L(W_\mathrm{base}+sBA)$ over two adapters $B \in \mathbb{R}^{m \times r}$ and $A \in \mathbb{R}^{r \times n}$ that form a low-rank update to a frozen pretrained weight matrix $W_\mathrm{base} \in \mathbb{R}^{m \times n}$. The…
Heavy-tailed distributions arise naturally in sequential decision-making problems such as financial investment, online advertising, and network management, where rare but extreme outcomes can dominate performance. Heavy-tailed bandits model online decision-making in these setting…
Offline goal-conditioned reinforcement learning (RL) holds the promise of learning general-purpose policies from static datasets. However, scaling these methods to long-horizon tasks remains a challenge due to the curse of horizon, where value estimation errors can compound throu…
We prove function-theoretic analogues of a quantitative result of Hodges on extracting the order property from a sufficiently large 2-tree coded in a binary relation. Similar analogues for functions were previously obtained by Daskalakis and Golowich and by Anderson and Benedikt.…
We study decentralized online optimization for strongly geodesically convex (strongly g-convex) losses on Riemannian manifolds with bounded sectional curvature, including positively curved manifolds. In centralized Riemannian optimization, strong g-convexity tightens the optimal…