Ravines in quantum cost landscapes: opportunities for improved VQA predictions

Felix J. Beckmann, João F. Bravo

The geometric and topological structure of quantum cost landscapes (QCLs) governs the optimization and thus the predictive power of variational quantum algorithms (VQAs). We systematically analyze ravines - low-cost paths connecting local minima - using an adapted version of the nudged elastic band (NEB) algorithm, a method originating from theoretical chemistry. By training quantum neural networks (QNNs) to classify the concentratable entanglement of quantum states, we apply the NEB algorithm and numerically identify ravine structures in QCLs of hardware-efficient ansatzes. Beyond visualizing these ravines, we construct an ensemble prediction framework by averaging predictions from QNNs parameterized along the low-cost NEB path. We introduce a resource-light pre-training metric which quantifies local-prediction variability and serves as a strong performance indicator for VQAs, even beyond the scope of this study. When base classifiers are drawn from circuit and weight initializations exhibiting high local-prediction variability, the quantum-based NEB ensembles outperform both classical and naive quantum alternatives. Moreover, a complexity analysis shows that leveraging the ravine-like structure of QCLs with the QNN NEB approach substantially reduces computational costs compared to naive QNN ensembling. A depth and qubit scaling analysis indicates that ravines persist across both scalings, and that, despite the expected growth in resource requirements with the qubit scaling, the NEB approach also accelerates convergence over the naive alternative.