Hybrid modelling and transfer learning for Bayesian optimisation of yeast protein production from food waste substrates

Alexander L. Bowler, Nasser Alkhulaifi, Sarah Rodgers, Joanna H. Sier, Célia Ferreira, Darren Greetham, Jordan Pennells, Kai Knoerzer, Nicholas J. Watson

Food production is a significant contributor to global greenhouse gas emissions and deforestation, exacerbated by substantial food waste. Converting food waste into yeast protein offers a sustainable solution to enhance food security and contribute to a circular economy. However, due to the diverse and variable nature of food waste substrates, numerous experimental trials are required to optimise the preprocessing steps, yeast strain selection, nutrient addition, and fermentation conditions. This study presents a hybrid modelling approach where data-driven machine learning is used to predict microbial growth kinetics from process parameters. The hybrid model was trained on a comprehensive dataset consisting of 963 fermentation experiments from 55 publications, enabling transfer learning across 46 yeast strains and 79 food waste substrates. The hybrid modelling method was integrated with Bayesian optimisation, a sequential strategy to optimise expensive-to-evaluate functions, to efficiently maximise yeast biomass growth from different food waste substrates. The utility of the hybrid model was evaluated using five test datasets selected from previous literature and was shown to facilitate an average reduction of 66% in the number of experimental trials required to identify optimal fermentation conditions compared to without using the hybrid model. This proved that the transfer of knowledge between yeast strains and food wastes improved the optimisation efficiency of real, previously published datasets compared to traditional optimisation methods. The novelty and contributions of this study include the collation of the extensive dataset, provided as supplementary material; and the demonstration that transfer learning by training the hybrid model on this heterogeneous dataset can improve the optimisation efficiency for yeast biomass growth on new strains and substrates.