We propose CEDAR (Causal Edge Discovery for Autoregressive Processes), a constraint-based method for lagged causal edge discovery in sparse autoregressive time series. CEDAR screens candidate cross-variable lags using AR(1)-residualized, U-centered distance correlation, then applies two targeted conditional-independence tests per significant cross-variable lag candidate and accepts at most one lag per ordered pair. A stable MCI pruning step removes indirect edges, and optional deterministic C-nodes adjust for specified trend-like nonstationarity. In sparse regimes where few lags survive screening, CEDAR requires $O(d^2)$ CI tests after screening while retaining edge-level interpretability. CEDAR is most effective when data are scarce and variables exhibit lag-1 self-dynamics; methods with richer conditioning sets become preferable as $T$ grows or when higher-order autoregressive or simultaneous multi-lag effects are common.
Longitudinal studies often collect data at sparse, irregular, and unequally spaced time points. Such heterogeneity is often driven by subject-specific covariates, yet existing methods have been restricted to a scalar endpoint value, completely neglecting the underlying response t…
We introduce the distributional determinantal point process (dDPP) as a novel repulsive point process whose atoms are probability distributions rather than points in a real space. The dDPP is constructed via an L-ensemble with a sliced Wasserstein (SW) kernel between distribution…
Density modes provide a localized and interpretable summary of multimodal distributions, but their estimation under rigorous differential privacy constraints remains largely unexplored. We study differentially private recovery of density modes for multivariate distributions under…
Mobile-health interventions increasingly use online learning and decision making algorithms to personalize when to nudge users toward healthier behavior, but a poorly designed algorithm can burden and disengage participants. New algorithm design decisions should therefore be vett…
Estimating contemporaneous bidirectional interactions from observational data is difficult because each outcome is endogenous to the other, while flexible regressions may capture only reduced-form dependence. This paper proposes SEM-DNN, a heteroscedastic neural simultaneous-equa…
Scalar metrics are often used to evaluate clusterings against known classes, but they can obscure a fundamental trade-off: clusterings should be informative about class labels while avoiding unnecessary fragmentation. Here we describe normalized scores of cluster homogeneity and…