CORTEXA
← Browse
arxivstat.MLcs.LG2026-07-23

Simulation-Based Empirical Bayes

Xinwei Shen, Diana Cai, Cheng Zhang, David M. Blei

Empirical Bayes (EB) performs simultaneous inference across many related latent variables. Classical EB assumes that the likelihood p(x | z) is tractable. In many scientific applications, however, the likelihood is available only through a simulator. This paper develops EB for such implicit likelihoods. We introduce simulation-based empirical Bayes (SBEB), which connects nonparametric EB to simulation-based inference (SBI). SBEB computes EB estimates without an explicit density by using the observed data, simulator samples, and an amortized inference network. SBEB iteratively refines the fitted EB prior toward the population prior. With several scientific simulators and real-world data, we demonstrate that SBEB improves accuracy over SBI with a fixed prior.

View free PDFSource page

Related papers

arxivcs.LGastro-ph.COastro-ph.GAhep-exhep-phstat.ML2026-07-23

An Introduction to Bayesian and Frequentist Simulation-Based Inference with Machine Learning

Maximilian Dax, Theo Heimel, Gilles Louppe

Simulation-based inference (SBI) with machine learning is an increasingly important tool for solving inverse problems in science and engineering, including parameter inference and the inversion of detector effects. We provide an overview of the Bayesian and frequentist statistica…

View free PDFSource page
arxivstat.MLcs.LG2026-07-23

Transformer-based Diffusion models for Hydrological Time Series Probabilistic Imputation and Forecasting

Ferdinand Bhavsar, Lionel Benoit, Maxime Savatier, Edith Gabriel

The modeling of hydrometeorological time series with limited observations is a key challenge in the monitoring of hydro-systems and water resources, as well as for flood or drought risk assessment. Due to the high variability of the underlying processes and the sparsity of availa…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.LGcs.AIstat.ML2026-07-31

When Does On-Policy Interaction Help? Representational Tradeoffs in Value-Based Imitation Learning

Luca Viano, Antoine Moulin, Audrey Huang, Volkan Cevher, Philip Amortila, Dylan J. Foster

Imitation learning (IL)---training an agent to replicate expert behavior from demonstrations---underpins applications from robotics to language model training. Standard approaches such as Behavior Cloning (BC) are known to suffer from compounding errors and performance plateaus,…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.LGcs.ITeess.SPstat.ML2026-07-23

Semantic-Aware Task Clustering for Constructive and Cooperative Multi-Tasking

Ahmad Halimi Razlighi, Maximilian H. V. Tillmann, Edgar Beck, Bho Matthiesen, Armin Dekorsy

Cooperative multi-task semantic communication (CMT-SemCom) improves task execution performance by leveraging shared representations. However, as we demonstrated in [1], cooperative multi-tasking can be either constructive or destructive, depending on the semantic relationships am…

View free PDFSource page