The Forward-Forward (FF) algorithm trains each layer locally, so that a scalar goodness - the sum of squared activations - is high on real inputs and low on contrastive ones, with activations normalized between layers. Both choices are usually treated as heuristics. Under an explicit generative model they are not: the squared goodness is the sufficient statistic of a likelihood-ratio test between two zero-mean populations differing in scale, and the FF threshold is its boundary. It generalizes: anisotropic populations yield a Mahalanobis goodness, the plain square being its isotropic case; heavy-tailed populations yield a saturating statistic whose slope is a posterior precision - divisive normalization - with bounded evidence and an advantage only under aggregation. The same lens characterizes the inter-layer normalization: it must remove the length while preserving per-coordinate energy, explaining a depth collapse we observe under unit-norm normalization; and the pairwise objective admits a scale-inflation shortcut that a whitened goodness removes.
We introduce the distributional determinantal point process (dDPP) as a novel repulsive point process whose atoms are probability distributions rather than points in a real space. The dDPP is constructed via an L-ensemble with a sliced Wasserstein (SW) kernel between distribution…
Simulation-based inference (SBI) with machine learning is an increasingly important tool for solving inverse problems in science and engineering, including parameter inference and the inversion of detector effects. We provide an overview of the Bayesian and frequentist statistica…
A defining problem of the Anthropocene is to model the physical Earth and human societies as one coupled system, yet no learned representation spans their observational breadth. We argue the obstacle is geometric: the physical Earth is measured as continuous fields that ignore po…
The modeling of hydrometeorological time series with limited observations is a key challenge in the monitoring of hydro-systems and water resources, as well as for flood or drought risk assessment. Due to the high variability of the underlying processes and the sparsity of availa…
We consider the problem of learning from a single finite trajectory of an ergodic stochastic dynamical system. More precisely, we study discrete-time autonomous stochastic systems defining time-homogeneous Markov processes. We first focus on estimating the optimal one-step predic…
Longitudinal studies often collect data at sparse, irregular, and unequally spaced time points. Such heterogeneity is often driven by subject-specific covariates, yet existing methods have been restricted to a scalar endpoint value, completely neglecting the underlying response t…